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The market report · Section four

Risks and constraints.

5 claims, 4 of them sourced directly to the body that sets the rule: the Queensland Revenue Office, the Commonwealth foreign investment framework, the City of Gold Coast.

The finding

The rules push offshore money into the one segment that is running late.

Foreign persons are generally barred from established dwellings from 1 April 2025 to 30 June 2029, and Queensland adds 8 per cent foreign acquirer duty on top. A foreign buyer who wants Gold Coast exposure is therefore steered toward new and off-plan product. That is the same product JLL describes as heavily delayed, with around 60 per cent of the 2028 and 2029 pipeline classed at moderate or high risk of delay or withdrawal.

So an international campaign on qualifying new stock stands on firmer legal ground than one on established resales, and carries more delivery risk to answer for.

Policy dates move. Each claim carries the date its current form took effect, and was checked as current in July 2026.

Policy, planning and delivery

coastal and climate exposure verified Gold Coast as at July 2019

The City of Gold Coast Coastal Adaptation Plan uses 0.8 metres of mean sea-level rise by 2100 as its planning benchmark, and states that cyclone activity could increase along the Queensland coast with severe storms possibly tracking farther south.

Wording matters here. The adopted plan uses qualified language about cyclone activity potentially increasing. A stronger phrasing, that cyclones will increase in intensity, appears only on the Council web summary and must not be attributed to the adopted plan.

City of Gold Coast Coastal Adaptation Plan City of Gold Coast

completions and delivery reported Gold Coast as at Mar 2026

JLL reported 90 Gold Coast apartment completions in the March quarter of 2026 and described construction as still heavily delayed. A June 2026 Property Council and Urbis pipeline study classified around 60 per cent of apartments due for completion in 2028 and 2029 as at moderate or high risk of delay or withdrawal.

Research-house and commissioned figures, not an official completion register. The same study reports 2,431 new apartments and townhouses registered in 2025; that is pipeline registration activity and must never be described as completions.

JLL Research; Urbis for the Property Council of Australia JLL · Property Council of Australia

foreign acquirer duty verified Queensland as at 1 July 2024

Queensland applies an additional foreign acquirer duty of 8 per cent on relevant acquisitions of residential land by foreign persons, including applicable companies and trusts. The 8 per cent rate took effect on 1 July 2024, replacing 7 per cent.

Additional to the underlying transfer duty, and applied according to the statutory foreign-person and residential-land tests. It is not a flat surcharge on every purchase by a non-resident. Any material still stating 7 per cent is out of date.

Queensland Revenue Office Queensland Revenue Office · Queensland Revenue Office

foreign purchase of established dwellings verified Australia as at 1 Apr 2025

From 1 April 2025 to 30 June 2029, foreign persons are generally prohibited from purchasing established dwellings in Australia. Limited approval pathways remain, including qualifying redevelopment that adds at least twenty dwellings, commercial-scale housing uses and certain employee housing.

The end date was extended from 31 March 2027 to 30 June 2029 in May 2026. This pushes foreign participation toward new stock rather than established resales, which matters directly for off-plan campaigns aimed offshore.

Australian Treasury and the foreign investment framework Australian Government, Foreign Investment · Australian Treasury

planning and building height verified Gold Coast as at 10 Mar 2026

As at July 2026 the Gold Coast's new Planning Scheme remains in preparation. Council gave its growth management strategy in-principle support on 10 March 2026; the strategy proposes no new high-rise areas beyond the current City Plan, and a mid-rise definition covering roughly four to eight storeys is under review before statutory heights are settled.

The growth strategy does not itself change zoning or height controls. Detailed zoning, density and height will be determined through the new Planning Scheme after further work and State-interest review. There is no adopted blanket height limit.

City of Gold Coast City of Gold Coast · City of Gold Coast

As at 2026-07-25.

What this means for a campaign

Offshore demand is pushed toward new stock, and delivery is the open question.

A foreign buyer is generally barred from established dwellings until mid-2029 but can still transact on qualifying new product, so an international campaign on an off-plan project is on firmer ground than one on resale stock. Meanwhile around sixty per cent of apartments due in 2028 and 2029 are rated at risk of delay or withdrawal, which is the anxiety every off-plan buyer already has. What that delay costs the developer holding the stock is modelled here.

How we answer that Read the methodology